En el caso que se realizara una consulta inmediata, sólo el 9% de los venezolanos votaría por el cambio de la Constitución Nacional, según un estudio realizado por la Cátedra Libre: Elecciones y Democracia de la Universidad Central de Venezuela (UCV)

Por lapatilla.com
En números, ese apoyo al cambio, suponiendo una participación del 75% del electorado.  significaría un apoyo máximo de 1.316.527 personas, mientras que negar la Asamblea Nacional Constituyente obtendría sobre los 12,5 millones de votos.  Una proporción de 9,6 votos negativos por cada voto afirmativo.

El estudio de opinión pública nacional se realizó por medio de 1.200 entrevistas a mayores de 18 años en poblaciones mayores a 50.000 habitantes en el territorio nacional, para un error máximo admisible del +/- 3,5%.  El trabajo de campo se realizó del 10 al 17 de mayo.

Entre los votantes, el 27,9% autodefinido como chavista se negaría a aprobar la Constituyente.

Ante la pregunta ¿Es necesario cambiar la Constitución de 1999? el 92,1% constestó “NO”, el 5,2% “SI” y el 2,7% no contestó.

Al preguntársele “Para cambiar la Constitución, ¿hay que consultar al pueblo?” el 94,1% contestó “SI”, el 3,2% “NO” y el 2,7% no contestó.

Se consultó ¿La ANC es la vía para solucionar los problemas del país? y el 84,3% contestó “NO”, el 9,1% “SI” y el 6,6% no contestó.

Ante la pregunta ¿La solución son elecciones lo más pronto posible y que el pueblo decida? el 82,8% contestó “SI”, el 9,9% “NO” y el 7,3% no contestó.

Democracia e instituciones
Para medir la percepción nacional sobre la democracia y sus instituciones, el estudio incluyó una batería de 16 preguntas relacionadas con el tema, y estás fueron las respuestas:

Maduro, cuesta abajo
Los resultados del estudio muestran que Nicolás Maduro cuenta con la desaprobación de 91,3% de los venezolanos, 75,1% considera que es el responsable de los problemas que hoy aquejan al país y un 82% opina que el gobierno no tiene la capacidad para solucionarlos.

De acuerdo a la investigación, un 89% de la población cree que Venezuela es gobernada por grupos poderosos que buscan su propio beneficio, 59,1% afirma que estamos en una dictadura, mientras un 19,9% dice que es una anarquía.

Un 86% manifiesta que Maduro debe salir del poder en 2017 y un 10% que debería culminar su mandato en el tiempo previsto.  Ante la pregunta de si el Jefe de Estado está debilitando el legado de Chávez-planteada únicamente a los entrevistados identificados con el chavismo-un 90% respondió afirmativamente.

La demanda es de progreso económico
8 de 10 venezolanos está insatisfecho con sus demandas sociales.  La primera exigencia es el progreso económico (91,1%), le siguen un sistema de salud óptimo, con dotación de hospitales y suministro de medicamentos (85,5%); un trabajo digno (81,7%) y erradicación de la pobreza (80,3%).  Los principales padecimientos del venezolano son el desabastecimiento, el alto costo de la vida y la inseguridad.

Percepción sobre las instituciones
La Contraloría General de la República es la institución peor valorada en Venezuela, cuando sólo el 9,1% la valoró positivamente.  Le sigue el gobierno nacional (Maduro y sus ministros) con una valoración positiva de sólo el 11,2% de los encuestados.  En el otro extremo, la institución mejor valorada es la Asamblea Nacional cuando el 49,1% la valoró positivamente.  Le sigue el Ministerio Público con una valoración positiva del 47,3%, subiendo su valoración positiva 28 puntos comparada con la valoración de diciembre de 2016.

Entre otras percepciones, la actuación de la Fiscal General de la República ante la ruptura del hilo constitucional es apoyada por el 85,1% de la encuestados.

La sociedad venezolana se “derechiza”
Con una interesante pregunta, el estudio indagó la autoubicación de los entrevistados en un eje donde “0” es la izquierda más extrema y “10” la derecha más extrema.

El resultado entre los 1.200 entrevistados fue de 5,4%, notable luego que la sociedad venezolana ha estado sometida al populismo de izquierda durante 18 años consecutivos, los últimos 4 con resultados catastróficos.

Lea a continuación, íntegro el estudio de la UCV, que trae mucho más sobre los liderazgos, partidos políticos y unas conclusiones de los que elaboraron el estudio (lapatilla.com)

https://www.lapatilla.com/site/2017/06/22/solo-el-9-de-los-venezolanos-votaria-a-favor-de-cambiar-la-constitucion-nacional-estudio-ucv/

UCV – Clde Estudio de Coyuntura Política – Mayo 2017 by La Patilla on Scribd

30 comentarios

Armando Azpurua · Té Pennsylvania Estate U.  State College Campus   Hay que rehacer estas encuestas después de que NMM y sus secuaces hagan las ofertas para la nueva constitución -lo que llaman los caramelitos- para que se traguen lo que no les guste.  Algo así como un carro nuevo gratis cada 3 años, por supuesto que para luego no cumplir, como tienen 18 años haciendo.
Quienes adversamos estas marramucias tenemos que participar para que con solo un 8,9% a favor no declaren una tremenda victoria.  También, para que no queden en evidencia quienes no están de acuerdo, pero no quieren sufrir las consecuencias de no haber votado.
Sé que es un grave riesgo de que nuestra participación vaya a «validar» este tremendo fraude hay que analizar la situación profesionalmente.

Me gusta · Responder · 1 min

Víctor Santaella Kruk Así saquen un solo voto en Venezuela igual es aprobada la Constituyente (o cualquier elección) no hay ley de segundas vueltas en Venezuela y esto lo han usado los políticos para hacer de las suyas en nuestro país, no hay ninguna ley que diga que tiene que votar más del 50% del padrón electoral para hacer que una elección sea efectiva o no.  Estas son el tipo de cosas que hay que modernizar en nuestro sistema.  Si es que los políticos del país aceptan esta propuesta de segundas vueltas algún día.

Me gusta · Responder · 2 · 22 de junio de 2017 16:06

Carlos García · Universidad Central de Venezuela   Y mientras el régimen tiránico en Vzla trata de perpetrar el fraude constituyente para imponer la dictadura a su modo y reformar la república para convertirla en imperio, el pueblo sigue muriendo en los hospitales por falta de medicinas o muriendo de hambre o muriendo por la represión o a manos del hampa…  Pendejos aquellos que se comen el cuento de que la constituyente impuesta a la fuerza solucionara estos problemas…

Me gusta · Responder · 22 de junio de 2017 19:08

Carlos Suárez · Sound Art ¿Si no preguntaron al pueblo si quería la prostituyente, le van a preguntar si la aprueba?…  INGENUOS.

Me gusta · Responder · 1 · 22 de junio de 2017 16:08

Miguel Oroz El culpable de la miseria de Venezuela es el COMUNISMO castrochavista y NO el precio del petróleo.  Durante la IV República y aun los primeros años de Chávez el precio del petróleo estaba debajo de 20dolares/barril, y no había hambre ni colas.
Después vinieron 3 o 4 años de ‘vacas gordas» con precios por encima de $80 y hasta más de $100 ; y los chamburos pensaron que eso sería eterno, y hasta Rodríguez Ali, el zar del petróleo decía que llegaría a $250; y como estúpidos planearon el futuro a esos precios; y empezaron a coger prestamos ruinosos y a arruinar la agricultura, ganadería, la industria, el comercio, IMPORTANDO porque era donde estaba la robadera, el bisnis fácil, las empresas de maletín
Y así se judío al país !!!!
Aun hoy en día con una buena economía $40/barril sería un buen precio.
Nunca, ni siquiera a $100/barril el petróleo paso de ser el 15% del PIB; el otro 85% que arruino el chavismo fue la desgracia que hay.

Me gusta · Responder · 22 de junio de 2017 16:27

Yurai Hernández · Designer en Manualidades y Labores   Coño si la ESTUPIDEZ es causa de muerte este palagrista está en fase TERMINAL

Me gusta · Responder · 22 de junio de 2017 16:32

Miguel Oroz Los venezolanos abocados a dos crueles alternativas: A) una guerra civil; o B) aceptar una dictadura castrista por varias generaciones.
Una guerra civil podría tener miles de muertos; pero una tiranía castrista tendría 10 millones de refugiados huyendo; cientos de miles de presos y fusilaos; y hambre y mísera por el resto de sus vidas para los que acepten el yugo,
Los venezolanos tienen la palabra.  ¿Por cuál se deciden?

Me gusta · Responder · 22 de junio de 2017 16:35

Toni Domínguez · ETPIB  es igual el número de votos que sume el NO, ellos ya saben que será así, si persisten en que se realice esa votación es porque ya tienen preparada la trampa para ganar.
A pesar de eso hay que ir a votar TODOS, el NO …luego será lo que tenga que ser, pero eso ya no está en manos de los venezolanos, los que mandan son los CUBANOS.

Me gusta · Responder · 22 de junio de 2017 16:36

Miguel Oroz – Solo ver a esa TIBISAI produce IMPOTENCIA

Me gusta · Responder · 22 de junio de 2017 16:40

Luis Zambrano · Valencia   Víctor hermano por eso hay que preguntarle al soberano ninguna ley eso está sobre entendido cuando tu no ganas por un margen mayor al treinta por ciento tú puedes ser legítimo eso es igual cuando queda 49 a 50

Me gusta · Responder · 22 de junio de 2017 16:57

-Estudio UCV – 22-6-2017

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